I have been working on a statistical analysis of high level Brazilian Jiu-Jitsu matches to see what is working out there. I began from the lightest weight classes and have slowly been moving up.
The results are probably not indicative of most BJJ matches as they are based on matches between the very best BJJ Black Belts (only using Quarterfinals and later rounds of the World Championships) but they do provide some interesting insights that will help us better tailor our Brazilian Jiu Jitsu training for future IBJJF competitions.
Rooster (Galo) division – 126.5 lbs
3 Matches (semis, finals)
Submission Rate – 67% (2/3)
Submission Breakdown – 1 armbar, 1 toehold (counter)
2 points scored, 6 advantages scored
*points scored for Near Submission (out of bounds)
Matches fought with takedowns – 0% (immediate pull or double pull in all matches)
Matches won by Guard puller – 33% (1/3)
Matches won by Guard passer – 67% (2/3)
Light Feather (Pluma) division – 141 lbs
7 Matches (quarters, semis, finals)
Submission Rate – 14.3% (1/7)
Submission Breakdown – 1 gi choke from back
14 Points Scored, 27 advantages
Sweeps – 8 pts (57.1%)
Back Take – 4 pts (28.6%)
Penalties – 2 pts (14.3%)
Matches fought with takedowns – 0% (immediate pull or double pull in all matches)
Matches won by Guard puller – 33% (2/6)
Matches won by Guard passer – 67% (4/6)
* 1 match was fought entirely from the 50/50 after a double pull so there was no top or bottom grappler
Sweep Breakdown
1 Belt drag (Open Guard)
1 “Middle” Half Guard Sweep (Half Guard)
1 Knee-Bump (Closed Guard)
1 Butt-to-Bicep (Cross Guard)
Observations:
- When the Guard Passer would win the matches, he would win mostly by advantages for near-passing rather than actually scoring three points for the pass itself.
- There does not seem to be any preference as to what type of guard works best.
- Although the Rooster and Super Featherweights did not pass each other’s guards, the top player did seem to win more than he lost.



[...] 2009 BJJ Worlds – Rooster & Super Feather Analysis [...]
[...] matches to see what is working for the best grapplers at the highest level of competition. Last time we analyzed the two lightest weight categories, Galo and Pluma, and now we have moved onto the heavier grappling [...]